{"href":"https://api.simplecast.com/oembed?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcolloquy.simplecast.com%2Fepisodes%2Fhow-reliable-are-election-forecasts-p9YjixO7","width":444,"version":"1.0","type":"rich","title":"How Reliable Are Election Forecasts?","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_url":"https://image.simplecastcdn.com/images/e0567929-86dc-4c87-8c99-ce409c952a49/618d54cb-737a-43a1-9c67-9d060e2ca167/2024-electoral-map-reduced.jpg","thumbnail_height":300,"provider_url":"https://simplecast.com","provider_name":"Simplecast","html":"<iframe src=\"https://player.simplecast.com/28e91c54-3688-4052-9827-8209fed1b150\" height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" title=\"How Reliable Are Election Forecasts?\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"></iframe>","height":200,"description":"News organizations—and voters—rely more heavily than ever on probabilistic election forecasts from “data journalists” like Nate Silver. But are they really more reliable than other models—or a random guess? "}