{"href":"https://api.simplecast.com/oembed?url=https%3A%2F%2Feventsafetypodcast.simplecast.com%2Fepisodes%2Fepisode-117-uncertainty-and-decisions-OcuOlXPK","width":444,"version":"1.0","type":"rich","title":"Episode 117 - Uncertainty and Decisions","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_url":"https://image.simplecastcdn.com/images/7cd7c37d-93d4-4301-b518-95b280305a62/19599ea9-f4a9-4b6a-b337-bea5c0f0331d/slide.jpg","thumbnail_height":300,"provider_url":"https://simplecast.com","provider_name":"Simplecast","html":"","height":200,"description":"\nCo-host Anna Glover joins Danielle Hernandez to explore a topic that sits at the heart of everything we do in live events: how do you make good decisions when you can't know the outcome?\n\nTheir guest, Ben Cattaneo, is a risk and resilience professional, host of the Decision-Making Studio podcast, and co-author of \"Decision Making in the Polycrisis Era\". Ben opens by drawing a clear line between risk (where we can estimate probability) and uncertainty (where we genuinely can't) and argues that leaning into uncertainty as a frame produces better thinking than treating every scenario as a quantifiable risk. Risk matrices can create a false sense of security. \n\nUsing a FOCUS framework to help guide decision making, the discussion explores the process and tools available to make a decision, including knowing how impactful the result may be to live with, i.e., a hat (fully reversible), a haircut (you'll live with it for a while), or a tattoo (irreversible).\n\nWhat happens when the moment arrives and people get cold feet about the decision they already agreed to make? The answer, Ben says: document the how and the why before the pressure hits, so you can defend a difficult decision without having to reconstruct your reasoning under stress.\n\nThe episode closes with Anna and Ben connecting all of it back to live events as an environment for building decision-making capability. Every show is a new data point, every load-in a chance to practice.\n\nHosts:\nDanielle Hernandez (host)\nAnna Glover (co-host)\n\nGuests:\nBen Cattaneo | Risk and Resilience Practice, PwC; Host, Decision Making Studio Podcast\n\nShow Notes:\nDecision Making Studio Podcast | https://thedecisionmaking.studio\nDecision Making in the Polycrisis Era (book) | Available on major book retailers\nESA Safer Events Series - Weather | https://eventsafetyalliance.org/safer-events-series\nContact Danielle | podcast@eventsafetyalliance.org\n"}