{"href":"https://api.simplecast.com/oembed?url=https%3A%2F%2Feventual.simplecast.com%2Fepisodes%2Fdemocrats-maine-mess-domer-david-desrosiers-MXFCxd5H","width":444,"version":"1.0","type":"rich","title":"Democrats' Maine Mess | Domer & David DesRosiers","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_url":"https://image.simplecastcdn.com/images/939ce5ce-704f-4211-a185-94e70aa170d3/8672750a-cabc-46db-8928-61d8363a94d1/podcast_tile_logo_first_yellow_01.jpg","thumbnail_height":300,"provider_url":"https://simplecast.com","provider_name":"Simplecast","html":"","height":200,"description":"Domer & Alex Keeney breaks down the latest in politics, prediction markets, and election odds — from Graham Platner dropping out in Maine to Nigel Farage facing Count Binface in the world’s dumbest by-election.\n\nThen David DesRosiers, publisher of RealClearPolitics and host of Get Real, joins Eventual to talk about polling, Polymarket, prediction markets, political science, the future of election forecasting, the 2026 midterms, Democratic Socialists in primaries, big-city politics, gender polarization, and what Republicans and Democrats can learn from each other.\n\nTopics include:\nGraham Platner drops out of the Maine Senate race\nMaine Democrats scramble to pick a replacement nominee\nTroy Jackson, Shenna Bellows, Nirav Shah, Jordan Wood, and Dan Kleban\nMaine Senate election odds and 2026 Senate control\nNigel Farage, Reform UK, and Count Binface\nThe UK’s strangest by-election\nRealClearPolitics adding Polymarket odds\nPolling averages vs. prediction markets\nWhy prediction markets matter for political analysis\nThe future of election forecasting after 538\nHouse and Senate control markets\nDSA-aligned candidates in Democratic primaries\nUrban decline, migration, and big-city politics\nYoung men, gender polarization, and the Trump coalition\nWhat the GOP and Democrats can learn from each other\n\nGuest:\nDavid DesRosiers — Publisher, RealClearPolitics\n\nSponsored segment:\nIncludes a Polymarket ad read.\n\nDisclaimer:\nEventual is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this stream should be understood as financial, legal, investment, gambling, or trading advice. Guests, hosts, and viewers may hold positions in prediction markets and may change those positions at any time. Nothing here is an endorsement to buy, sell, or trade any market. Trade safe and follow all applicable laws and platform rules in your jurisdiction.\n\nSubscribe to Eventual for more politics, prediction markets, election odds, and probabilistic analysis.\n\n#PredictionMarkets #Polymarket #RealClearPolitics #Politics #Election2026 #Midterms #MaineSenate #GrahamPlatner #NigelFarage #CountBinface #Polling #ElectionForecasting #PoliticalScience #Eventual"}