{"href":"https://api.simplecast.com/oembed?url=https%3A%2F%2Feventual.simplecast.com%2Fepisodes%2Fpolls-vs-prediction-marks-lakshya-jain-_PcpZwhl","width":444,"version":"1.0","type":"rich","title":"Polls vs. prediction marks | Lakshya Jain","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_url":"https://image.simplecastcdn.com/images/939ce5ce-704f-4211-a185-94e70aa170d3/8672750a-cabc-46db-8928-61d8363a94d1/podcast_tile_logo_first_yellow_01.jpg","thumbnail_height":300,"provider_url":"https://simplecast.com","provider_name":"Simplecast","html":"<iframe src=\"https://player.simplecast.com/e9a7a356-f25b-4c13-af7b-c4754360ce64\" height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" title=\"Polls vs. prediction marks | Lakshya Jain\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"></iframe>","height":200,"description":"Alex Keeney and Brian Golden break down the latest prediction market action, including Marco Rubio vs. AOC in the 2028 nomination markets, inflation and Fed rate odds, the Lakers sale, and the Clacton by-election. Lakshya Jain and Domer join for a deep dive into a wild primary night and debate the strengths and weaknesses of polls, election models, Kalshi, and Polymarket as forecasting tools. Plus, the crew tackles key Senate and House races, gerrymandering, scandal markets, and what prediction markets can—and can’t—tell us about elections."}