{"href":"https://api.simplecast.com/oembed?url=https%3A%2F%2Feventual.simplecast.com%2Fepisodes%2Fs1e34-PFNEwVmJ","width":444,"version":"1.0","type":"rich","title":"Brazil 60/40, Trump's burn book & Signal vs. Noise | Ian Bezek","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_url":"https://image.simplecastcdn.com/images/939ce5ce-704f-4211-a185-94e70aa170d3/8672750a-cabc-46db-8928-61d8363a94d1/podcast_tile_logo_first_yellow_01.jpg","thumbnail_height":300,"provider_url":"https://simplecast.com","provider_name":"Simplecast","html":"<iframe src=\"https://player.simplecast.com/f17a2bc5-2324-454c-a68e-8c5fd6c1c7ce\" height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" title=\"Brazil 60/40, Trump&apos;s burn book &amp; Signal vs. Noise | Ian Bezek\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"></iframe>","height":200,"description":"Eventual takes a victory lap on several House races before turning to Trump’s “burn book,” where Ken Paxton looks increasingly vulnerable while Pete Hegseth and Dario Amodei appear safer. Alex and Pratik also read the tea leaves on AOC, Nithya Raman and Trump’s AI summit for clues about 2028, Los Angeles politics and AI policy. Ian Bezek joins to argue that Brazil’s election market may be mispricing Lula, while flagging a potential opportunity in Argentina’s 2027 presidential race. The show closes with trades around Oura’s delayed IPO, France’s budget fight and other prediction-market mispricings.\n"}