{"href":"https://api.simplecast.com/oembed?url=https%3A%2F%2Feventual.simplecast.com%2Fepisodes%2Fs1e39-qkvPqsfy","width":444,"version":"1.0","type":"rich","title":"Modeling secrets, Florida & inflation | Eli Mckown-Dawson","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_url":"https://image.simplecastcdn.com/images/939ce5ce-704f-4211-a185-94e70aa170d3/8672750a-cabc-46db-8928-61d8363a94d1/podcast_tile_logo_first_yellow_01.jpg","thumbnail_height":300,"provider_url":"https://simplecast.com","provider_name":"Simplecast","html":"<iframe src=\"https://player.simplecast.com/0e7da97c-9a97-4411-9017-9fe4d196ca95\" height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" title=\"Modeling secrets, Florida &amp; inflation | Eli Mckown-Dawson\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"></iframe>","height":200,"description":"Alex Keeney and Brian Golden examine Democrats’ expanding House battlefield and how traders can search for overlooked opportunities as Election Day approaches. Silver Bulletin’s Eli McKown-Dawson goes inside FLIPR, explaining how polling, fundamentals, candidate quality and expert ratings become election probabilities—and why late polling movement may be less dramatic than traders expect. Two-time perfect-map caller Blitz then argues Florida remains more Republican than some recent polling suggests while assessing the broader fight for Congress. The hosts also break down election-night strategies for trading volatile early returns without getting trapped by noisy margin markets. Finally, Mark Davis unveils Eventual’s new midterm dashboard, combining markets, polls, models and simulations into a single trading-focused view of the election."}