{"href":"https://api.simplecast.com/oembed?url=https%3A%2F%2Feventual.simplecast.com%2Fepisodes%2Fs1e44-eFZ9lrZP","width":444,"version":"1.0","type":"rich","title":"Michigan, Indiana & the early vote | Zach Gorchow & Niki Kelly","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_url":"https://image.simplecastcdn.com/images/939ce5ce-704f-4211-a185-94e70aa170d3/8672750a-cabc-46db-8928-61d8363a94d1/podcast_tile_logo_first_yellow_01.jpg","thumbnail_height":300,"provider_url":"https://simplecast.com","provider_name":"Simplecast","html":"<iframe src=\"https://player.simplecast.com/b09d2d42-fd3d-4b21-ac35-ff1740d26cf4\" height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" title=\"Michigan, Indiana &amp; the early vote | Zach Gorchow &amp; Niki Kelly\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"></iframe>","height":200,"description":"One week from Election Day, early voting appears favorable to Democrats, though Alex and Brian warn that turnout data is useful signal—not a final result. In Michigan, Zach Gorchow says Abdul El-Sayed is favored but vulnerable, while Mike Rogers’ late repositioning suggests his campaign sees serious danger. Gorchow also highlights multiple competitive House races and points traders toward Rochester, the college towns and deep-red counties for election-night clues. In Indiana, Niki Kelly calls the Bayh–Engling contest a genuine toss-up and says Victoria Spartz is vulnerable enough that a close result could foreshadow a national Republican collapse. The broader lesson is to trade the wave through specific local indicators rather than assume every state will move uniformly. "}