{"href":"https://api.simplecast.com/oembed?url=https%3A%2F%2Feventual.simplecast.com%2Fepisodes%2Fs1e46-Wba90gB7","width":444,"version":"1.0","type":"rich","title":"PM Trader, Roger Marshall & midterms roulette","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_url":"https://image.simplecastcdn.com/images/939ce5ce-704f-4211-a185-94e70aa170d3/8672750a-cabc-46db-8928-61d8363a94d1/podcast_tile_logo_first_yellow_01.jpg","thumbnail_height":300,"provider_url":"https://simplecast.com","provider_name":"Simplecast","html":"<iframe src=\"https://player.simplecast.com/0bc964c4-71d7-4e68-9a19-0edc57b87d7c\" height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" title=\"PM Trader, Roger Marshall &amp; midterms roulette\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"></iframe>","height":200,"description":"Alex and PMT assess whether prediction markets have pushed the expected Democratic wave too far, identifying Annie Andrews and Roger Marshall as places where Republican prices may now offer value. They largely hold firm on Mary Peltola despite the Alaska ballot-recruitment scandal, while warning that poor weather could disproportionately suppress Republican election-day turnout. PMT explains how correlated combo markets may offer better longshot returns than betting individual races in isolation. The conversation also covers uncomfortable portfolio positions, split-ticket possibilities in Texas and Iowa, and the continued value of highly probable gubernatorial “bond” trades. Both ultimately emphasize balancing blue-wave exposure with selective Republican hedges and keeping enough flexibility for election night."}