{"href":"https://api.simplecast.com/oembed?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpodcast.techfreedom.org%2Fepisodes%2F385-ai-snake-oil-pcjIhi5O","width":444,"version":"1.0","type":"rich","title":"385: AI Snake Oil","thumbnail_width":300,"thumbnail_url":"https://image.simplecastcdn.com/images/50bb570b-2d48-4cba-8eac-4d8a2c843965/cd797333-b8be-4a15-9f49-da85419a5dc5/tpp-v3.jpg","thumbnail_height":300,"provider_url":"https://simplecast.com","provider_name":"Simplecast","html":"<iframe src=\"https://player.simplecast.com/f41255fc-af34-4c44-960e-4f0797979374\" height=\"200\" width=\"100%\" title=\"385: AI Snake Oil\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"></iframe>","height":200,"description":"Sayash Kapoor (Princeton) discusses the incoherence of precise p(doom) predictions and the pervasiveness of AI “snake oil.” Check out his and Arvind Narayanan’s new book, AI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference.\n\nTopics include:\n\n- What’s a prediction, really?\n- p(doom): your guess is as good as anyone’s\n- Freakishly chaotic creatures (us, that is)\n- AI can’t predict the impact of AI\n- Gaming AI with invisible ink\n- Life is luck—let’s act like it\n- Superintelligence (us, that is)\n- The bitter lesson\n- AI danger: sweat the small stuff\n\nLinks:\n\nAI Snake Oil: What Artificial Intelligence Can Do, What It Can’t, and How to Tell the Difference (https://tinyurl.com/4v3byma9)\n\nAI Existential Risk Probabilities Are Too Unreliable to Inform Policy (https://tinyurl.com/fdrcu5s6)\n\nAI Snake Oil (Substack) (https://tinyurl.com/2chwfrka)"}